Viendo archivo del lunes, 9 julio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 963 (S07E54) has
produced two C-class flares and numerous B-class flares. Region 963
grew slowly in size and complexity during the past 24 hours and is
now classified as a D-type group with 12 spots and a beta-gamma
magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region
963.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to become unsettled with a chance for active periods late
on day one (10 Jun) continuing through day two (11 Jun) in response
to a recurrent coronal hole. Conditions should decline to quiet to
unsettled on day three (12 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 077 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 077/077/077 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 008/010-015/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 45% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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