Viendo archivo del martes, 10 julio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 191 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jul 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 963 (S06E40) produced
12 C-class flares, the largest of which was a C8.2/Sf at 10/1240Z. The
region grew rapidly, approximately doubling in size in the past 24
hours. It is now an E-class, 15 spot region with a beta-gamma
magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low to moderate, with a fair chance for an isolated M-class flare
from Region 963.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind data indicate the onset
of a corotating interaction region beginning approximately 10/1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for active periods on days
one and two (11-12 July) due to a coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet conditions are anticipated to return on day three (13 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jul a 13 Jul
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jul 078 Previsto 11 Jul-13 Jul 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jul 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul 015/015-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jul a 13 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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