Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 julio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 12 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 193 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jul 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant flares
occurred during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region
963 (S05E15).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed at
ACE has steadily declined to around 485 km/s at forecast issue time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (13-15
July). Isolated active periods are possible on 14-15 July due to a
recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jul 077 Previsto 13 Jul-15 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 12 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jul 014/023 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul 005/008-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jul a 15 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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