Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 julio 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 13 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jul 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant flares occurred during the past 24 hours. New Region 964 (N04W30) is classified as a beta spot group. Region 963 (S06E01) continues to slowly decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 963 or 964.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active periods on 14-15 July due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jul a 16 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Jul 078
  Previsto   14 Jul-16 Jul  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jul  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jul  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul  010/015-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jul a 16 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%15%10%
Tormenta Menor15%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%20%15%
Tormenta Menor20%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%01%01%

All times in UTC

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