Viendo archivo del martes, 14 agosto 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 14 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 226 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Aug 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant activity was observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for the next two days (15 - 16 August) as a coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position. Expect quiet to unsettled conditions on 17 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Aug a 17 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       14 Aug 069
  Previsto   15 Aug-17 Aug  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        14 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 13 Aug  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 14 Aug  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 15 Aug-17 Aug  008/008-010/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Aug a 17 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%25%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%30%25%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%01%

All times in UTC

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