Viendo archivo del miércoles, 15 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 15 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 227 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. There was
no significant activity observed this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
increased to near 480 km/s as a coronal hole rotated into a
geoeffective position.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Aug a 18 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Aug 068 Previsto 16 Aug-18 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 15 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Aug 003/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Aug-18 Aug 010/012-008/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Aug a 18 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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