Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 16 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 228 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity remains at very low levels. There was no
activity of note in the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Enhanced
solar wind flow from a coronal hole produced occasional unsettled
periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods at
high latitudes. A coronal hole currently near disk center will
rotate into geoeffective position on 19 August and produce
occasional unsettled to active levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Aug 067 Previsto 17 Aug-19 Aug 065/065/065 Media de 90 Días 16 Aug 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Aug 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Aug 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Aug-19 Aug 008/008-005/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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