Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 septiembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Sep 21 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Sep 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled at the beginning of the period
but quickly subsided to quiet levels. Real-time solar wind
observations from ACE show a gradual increase in wind speed
consistent with the onset of a coronal hole-high speed stream.
However, Bz has been mostly northwards resulting in very little
geomagnetic response at this time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to become unsettled to active on 22-23 September, with a
chance for minor storm periods at high latitudes, as the influence
of the coronal hole increases. Activity is expected to subside to
unsettled levels on 24 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Sep 067 Previsto 22 Sep-24 Sep 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 21 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 015/015-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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