Viendo archivo del jueves, 18 octubre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Oct 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 291 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Oct 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field began the summary period at quiet levels and
became briefly active between 09-12Z as a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream became geoeffective. Activity since 12Z has been
quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from unsettled to active for the next three days
under the continued influence of the high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Oct a 21 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Oct 068 Previsto 19 Oct-21 Oct 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 18 Oct 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Oct 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Oct 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Oct-21 Oct 010/015-012/012-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Oct a 21 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 26% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 14% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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