Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 octubre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Oct 25 2135 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 298 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Oct 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm conditions,
major storm levels were observed at high latitudes. The ACE
spacecraft observed a co-rotating interaction region at 25/1040Z.
Solar wind speed has increased to approximately 700 km/s, and Bz has
ranged between +/-17 nT, indicating the onset of a coronal hole high
speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active conditions due to the coronal
hole high speed stream throughout the forecast period (26 - 28
October). Minor storm levels at middle latitudes and major storm
conditions at high latitudes are possible on day one of the forecast
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Oct a 28 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Oct 067 Previsto 26 Oct-28 Oct 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 25 Oct 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Oct 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Oct 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct 020/020-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Oct a 28 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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