Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 noviembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Nov 21 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 325 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Nov 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated Earth remained under the influence
of a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities
gradually increased during the first half of the period and reached
a peak of 703 km/sec at 21/0920Z, then gradually decreased to a low
of 601 km/sec by the end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 22 November as
coronal hole effects continue. Activity is expected to decrease to
quiet to unsettled levels on 23 November as coronal hole effects
subside. Quiet conditions are expected on the final day of the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Nov 069 Previsto 22 Nov-24 Nov 069/069/068 Media de 90 Días 21 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 010/028 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Nov-24 Nov 012/015-008/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Nov a 24 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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