Viendo archivo del domingo, 16 diciembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Dec 16 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 350 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Dec 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was low to very low. Region 978
(S10W65) decreased in both size and number of spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. A slight chance for a C-class flare remains.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to become unsettled to active by the afternoon of December
17th as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream becomes
geoeffective. Isolated minor storm periods at mid latitudes, and
isolated major storms at high latitudes are possible. Conditions
are expected to remain at unsettled levels with isolated active
periods through 18 December, diminishing to unsettled levels by 19
December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Dec a 19 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Dec 082 Previsto 17 Dec-19 Dec 085/080/075 Media de 90 Días 16 Dec 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Dec 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Dec 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Dec-19 Dec 020/025-010/015-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Dec a 19 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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