Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 enero 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 12 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 012 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jan 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions. Solar wind speeds at ACE have steadily increased through the period starting around 380 km/s at 12/0440Z and ending with speeds of 500 km/s at forecast time. The increase in velocity along with the temperature and density trends observed, is indicative of a coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly unsettled with isolated active conditions for 13-15 January, due to continued influence of the high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jan a 15 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Jan 076
  Previsto   13 Jan-15 Jan  075/075/070
  Media de 90 Días        12 Jan 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jan  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Jan  008/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Jan-15 Jan  012/015-008/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jan a 15 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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