Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 diciembre 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Dec 22 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 356 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Dec 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Observations at ACE showed solar wind velocities varied between 571-652 km/sec through the forecast period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (23-25 December). Isolated active conditions are possible at high latitudes on 23 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Dec a 25 Dec
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Dec 072
  Previsto   23 Dec-25 Dec  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        22 Dec 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Dec  009/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Dec  007/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec  006/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Dec a 25 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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