Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 018 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods at middle latitudes. Solar wind speed remains elevated at
greater than 600 km/s due to the continued influence of a
geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the continued possibility of
isolated active periods for 19 January. The geomagnetic field
should abate to quiet to unsettled for 20 January and then quiet for
21 January as the high speed stream rotates from its geoeffective
position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jan 071 Previsto 19 Jan-21 Jan 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Jan 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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