Viendo archivo del martes, 15 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 15 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 015 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled under the influence of a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at ACE
declined from a peak of approximately 760 km/s to 650 km/s during
the period. The greater than 2 MeV electrons reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain unsettled on days 1 and 2 (16-17 Jan) under the
waning influence of the coronal hole. Infrequent, brief periods of
active to minor storm conditions will still be possible at high
latitudes. Day 3 (18 Jan) should bring a return to quiet
conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jan a 18 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jan 074 Previsto 16 Jan-18 Jan 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 15 Jan 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jan 014/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jan 014/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jan-18 Jan 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jan a 18 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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