Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 14 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 014 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under the
influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
speed at ACE reached 750 km/s during the period. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at unsettled to active levels with isolated storm
periods at high latitudes on Days 1 and 2 (15-16 Jan). The high
speed stream is expected to depart on Day 3 (17 Jan) and activity
levels should diminish to quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jan 076 Previsto 15 Jan-17 Jan 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 14 Jan 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jan 014/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 014/015-012/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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