Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 17 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 017 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled due to the
continued influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Solar wind speed is currently greater than 600 km/s. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with the possibility of isolated unsettled
periods for 18 January. On 19 - 20 January, the geomagnetic field
is expected to be quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jan 074 Previsto 18 Jan-20 Jan 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 17 Jan 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jan 009/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jan-20 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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