Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 enero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 019 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jan 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
remains elevated at greater than 600 km/s due to the continued
influence of a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the continued possibility of
an isolated active period for 20 January. The geomagnetic field
should be quiet for 21-22 January as the high speed stream rotates
from its geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jan 071 Previsto 20 Jan-22 Jan 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 19 Jan 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 010/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jan 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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