Viendo archivo del lunes, 18 febrero 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 18 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 049 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Feb 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. An isolated active period was observed from 18/0900 - 1200Z due to sustained southward Bz (-5nT maximum) and elevated solar wind speed. Beginning at approximately 18/0600Z wind speed began a gradual rise from around 450 km/s to end the summary period at about 600 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the forecast period (19 - 21 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Feb a 21 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Feb 071
  Previsto   19 Feb-21 Feb  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        18 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Feb  003/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Feb  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb  008/008-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Feb a 21 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%05%

All times in UTC

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