Viendo archivo del martes, 19 febrero 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 050 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Feb 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. Solar wind
speed at the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of 655 km/s at
approximately 19/0159Z, and Bz ranged between +/- 5nT. Wind speed
ended the summary period at around 600 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly unsettled levels, with isolated active
periods possible on days one and two (20 - 21 February). On day
three (22 February) activity levels should decrease to predominately
quiet levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Feb a 22 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Feb 072 Previsto 20 Feb-22 Feb 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 19 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Feb 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Feb 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Feb-22 Feb 008/008-008/012-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Feb a 22 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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