Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 marzo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 06 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Mar 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity remains at very low levels. Region 984 (S08W80) is a small beta sunspot group rotating quietly around the west limb. The rest of the solar disk and limb is very quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly exceeded high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next three days. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 7 March. A recurring high speed coronal hole stream will rotate into a geoeffective position on 8 March, and produce occasional active to minor storm periods on 8 and 9 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Mar a 09 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Mar 070
  Previsto   07 Mar-09 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        06 Mar 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Mar  007/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  005/005-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Mar a 09 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%40%40%
Tormenta Menor05%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%10%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%50%50%
Tormenta Menor10%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%15%15%

All times in UTC

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