Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 febrero 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 08 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Feb 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (09 Feb). Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on day 2 (10 Feb) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (11 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Feb a 11 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Feb 071
  Previsto   09 Feb-11 Feb  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        08 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Feb  006/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Feb  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb  010/012-015/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Feb a 11 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%40%25%
Tormenta Menor01%10%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%45%30%
Tormenta Menor05%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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