Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 marzo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 12 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 072 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Mar 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active under the continued influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at ACE occasionally reached 700 km/s during the 24 hour period. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at unsettled to occasionally active levels, with a chance for minor storms at high latitudes, during days 1 and 2 (13-14 March), Day 3 (15 Mar) is expected to be mostly quiet as the high speed stream wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Mar a 15 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Mar 069
  Previsto   13 Mar-15 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        12 Mar 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Mar  007/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Mar  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar  008/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Mar a 15 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%30%10%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa04%04%01%

All times in UTC

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