Viendo archivo del jueves, 13 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 073 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. An emerging flux region was observed at N10E03.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under the
continued influence of a high speed stream. Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE satellite ranged from 685 km/s near 2300Z to 569
km/s near 1700Z. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous
orbit remained at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled on day 1 (14 March), quiet on day 2
(15 March) in response to a slackening solar wind. A return to
unsettled levels is anticipated on day 3 (16 March) with the
possibility of active periods at high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Mar 070 Previsto 14 Mar-16 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 13 Mar 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Mar 009/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 008/008-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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