Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 marzo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 14 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 074 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Mar 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (15 March) in response to a
slackening of the solar wind indicated by the STEREO Behind
spacecraft. Quiet to unsettled levels return on days 2 and 3 (16-17
March) as the solar wind speeds approach 600 km/s.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Mar 070 Previsto 15 Mar-17 Mar 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 14 Mar 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 011/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Mar 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 005/005-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Mar a 17 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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