Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 abril 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 09 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. A CME from beyond the SW limb was first observed on SOHO/LASCO imagery at 09/1026Z. This CME appears to be back-sided and is not expected to be geoeffective. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions. Solar wind velocities, observed on the ACE satellite, remained at elevated levels due to the continued high speed stream. Velocities ranged from 635 km/sec to 778 km/sec during the past 24 hours, while the IMF Bz fluctuated between 4.2 nT to -3.6 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active levels at mid-latitudes and isolated minor to major storm conditions at high latitudes for day one (10 April), due to persistent effects from the high speed stream. Conditions should return to quiet to unsettled levels for day two (11 April) as the influence of the high speed stream is expected to wane. Conditions should be predominantly quiet on day three (12 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Apr 068
  Previsto   10 Apr-12 Apr  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        09 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr  006/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Apr  009/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr  010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%25%15%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%

All times in UTC

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