Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 mayo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 03 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Wind speed measured at the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of 580 km/s at 03/2022Z and Bz ranged between +/- 7. ACE signatures indicated that Earth had entered a coronal hole high speed stream at approximately 03/1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a slight chance for isolated active levels at middle latitudes and minor storm conditions at high latitudes due to a high speed stream throughout the forecast period (04 - 06 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 May 067
  Previsto   04 May-06 May  068/068/068
  Media de 90 Días        03 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 May  007/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 May  008/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May  008/012-005/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%15%20%
Tormenta Menor20%05%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%01%05%

All times in UTC

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