Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 mayo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 22 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 May 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is spotless. A 10 degree filament near S25E08 disappeared between 0734-1338Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed decreased gradually from approximately 620 km/s to values ranging between 580 - 520 km/s. The solar wind signatures were consistent with a high speed stream from a coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods for the next three days (23 - 25 May) due to persistent effects from the high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 May a 25 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 May 069
  Previsto   23 May-25 May  068/068/068
  Media de 90 Días        22 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 May  009/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 May  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May  008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 May a 25 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%25%
Tormenta Menor20%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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