Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 junio 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 18 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jun 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 999 (S03E37) remains stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to a coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for days one and two (19-20 June), returning to quiet levels on day three (21 June) as the high speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jun a 21 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Jun 065
  Previsto   19 Jun-21 Jun  067/067/067
  Media de 90 Días        18 Jun 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jun  008/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Jun  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun  010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jun a 21 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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