Viendo archivo del martes, 17 junio 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jun 17 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jun 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 999 (S02E46) has shown little change from yesterday and remains a single spot alpha magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions. Solar wind velocities, as measured at the ACE satellite, averaged around 680 km/s with a peak speed of 784 km/s at 17/0248 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for isolated active conditions for the next three days (18-20 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jun a 20 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Jun 066
  Previsto   18 Jun-20 Jun  067/067/067
  Media de 90 Días        17 Jun 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jun  010/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Jun  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun  010/012-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jun a 20 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%25%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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