Viendo archivo del martes, 15 julio 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 15 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 197 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jul 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed measured at the ACE spacecraft showed a gradual decrease from 670 to 580 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (16-18 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jul a 18 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       15 Jul 066
  Previsto   16 Jul-18 Jul  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        15 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jul  009/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 15 Jul  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 16 Jul-18 Jul  005/008-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jul a 18 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%15%10%
Tormenta Menor01%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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