Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 julio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 17 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 199 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jul 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar wind
speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, indicated a gradual
decrease in velocities from about 530 km/s at the beginning of the
period, to near 460 km/s by forecast issue time. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (18 - 20 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jul a 20 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jul 065 Previsto 18 Jul-20 Jul 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 17 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jul 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jul-20 Jul 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jul a 20 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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