Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 julio 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 200 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jul 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. New Region 1000
(S13E24) was numbered during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels. Solar wind speed,
as measured at the ACE spacecraft, continued its gradual decrease in
velocities from about 460 km/s at the beginning of the period, to
about 350 km/s by forecast issue time. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (19 - 21 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jul 067 Previsto 19 Jul-21 Jul 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 18 Jul 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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