Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 agosto 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Aug 14 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 227 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Aug 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (15-17 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was
initially at high levels but dropped below threshold at 14/0240Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (15-16 August). A small
increase to quiet to unsettled is expected for the third day (17
August) in response to a recurrent solar sector boundary crossing.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Aug a 17 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Aug 066 Previsto 15 Aug-17 Aug 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 14 Aug 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Aug 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Aug-17 Aug 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Aug a 17 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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