Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 septiembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 28 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Sep 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible solar disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for days one and two of the forecast period (29 and 30 September), there is a slight chance for and isolated active period at high latitudes. On day three (01 October) activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active conditions with a chance for minor storm periods at middle latitudes and major storm levels at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Sep a 01 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Sep 067
  Previsto   29 Sep-01 Oct  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        28 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Sep  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Sep  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Sep-01 Oct  008/008-008/010-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Sep a 01 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%40%
Tormenta Menor10%15%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%15%

All times in UTC

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