Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 septiembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 29 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 273 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Sep 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
isolated active conditions at high latitudes for day one (30
September) of the forecast period. On day two (01 October) activity
is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels with a chance
for minor storm periods at middle latitudes and major storm
conditions at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream. Activity should decrease to quiet to unsettled levels
with a chance for isolated active conditions at high latitudes for
day three (02 October) as the high speed stream continues.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Sep 067 Previsto 30 Sep-02 Oct 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 29 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct 008/010-020/025-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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