Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 octubre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Oct 02 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 276 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Oct 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. Observations
from the ACE spacecraft indicate solar wind speeds averaging around
700 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly unsettled conditions with isolated active
periods for 03 October. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for
04-05 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Oct a 05 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Oct 066 Previsto 03 Oct-05 Oct 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 02 Oct 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Oct 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Oct 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct 008/010-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Oct a 05 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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