Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 octubre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Oct 01 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 275 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Oct 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar wind
speed measured at the ACE spacecraft continued to rise through the
last 24 hours as the coronal hole high speed stream approaches.
Speeds are averaging around 600 km/s with the interplanetary
magnetic field Bz ranging between +/- 7 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor
storm levels at mid latitudes, and isolated major storm periods at
high latitudes for 02 October. Activity is expected due to the
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Mostly unsettled
conditions are expected for 03 - 04 October as the high speed stream
continues to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Oct 066 Previsto 02 Oct-04 Oct 066/066/066 Media de 90 Días 01 Oct 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Oct 007/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct 020/025-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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