Viendo archivo del domingo, 21 diciembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 21 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 356 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Dec 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained spotless. Please note: the observed Penticton 10.7 cm flux of 69 is estimated today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 22 - 23 December. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on 22 December and affect the field through the 23rd. Mostly quiet conditions are expected by 24 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Dec a 24 Dec
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Dec 069
  Previsto   22 Dec-24 Dec  069/069/069
  Media de 90 Días        21 Dec 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Dec  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Dec  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Dec-24 Dec  010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Dec a 24 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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