Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 diciembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 22 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 357 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Dec 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless. Please note: the observed Penticton 10.7 cm flux for 21
December was 068.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. At about 22/1600Z, ACE
measured increases in temperature, density and wind velocity, all
indicative of a co-rotating interaction region in advance of a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. During this period, solar
wind speed increased to near 400 km/s while the Bz component of the
IMF varied north and south about +/- 10 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecasted to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods on
23 December. On 24 - 25 December, effects from the coronal hole are
expected to wane, and as a result, the geomagnetic field will be
mostly quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Dec 068 Previsto 23 Dec-25 Dec 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 22 Dec 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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