Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 diciembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 31 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 366 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Dec 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream began early in the summary period. Velocities
gradually increased from 305 to 559 km/sec during the period. IMF
changes associated with the transition to the high-speed stream
included increased Bt (peak 17 nT at 31/0000Z) and intermittent
periods of southward Bz (minimum -16 nT at 31/0131Z).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to range from quiet to active levels during days 1 - 2
(January 1 - 2) as the coronal hole high-speed stream continues.
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day
3 (3 January) as the high-speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Dec 069 Previsto 01 Jan-03 Jan 069/069/069 Media de 90 Días 31 Dec 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Dec 012/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jan-03 Jan 008/008-012/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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