Viendo archivo del jueves, 4 diciembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 04 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 339 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Dec 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. Solar wind data indicated the continuation of a high speed
solar wind stream with peak velocities around 500 km/s. However,
velocity showed a steady decline after 0700Z and was around 380 km/s
at forecast issue time.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally unsettled with chance for an isolated
active period for the first day (05 December). Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected for the second day (06 December) and generally
quiet levels are expected for the third day (07 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Dec a 07 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Dec 070 Previsto 05 Dec-07 Dec 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 04 Dec 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Dec 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Dec 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec 010/012-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Dec a 07 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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