Viendo archivo del viernes, 20 febrero 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Feb 20 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 051 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Feb 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels on days
one and two of the forecast period (21 - 22 February). Isolated
active periods are possible on 21 February. This increase in
activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream that
is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position. By day three
(23 February), mostly quiet conditions will prevail.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Feb 069 Previsto 21 Feb-23 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 20 Feb 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Feb 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Feb-23 Feb 012/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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