Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 febrero 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Feb 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 052 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels with one period of
unsettled conditions at mid-latitude. Solar wind speeds have
increased steadily through the period from around 340 km/s to 430
km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
conditions on 22 February due to a recurrent coronal hole.
Predominately quiet conditions are expected on 23-24 February as the
coronal hole high speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Feb 071 Previsto 22 Feb-24 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 21 Feb 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 003/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 008/009-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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