Viendo archivo del domingo, 16 agosto 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Aug 16 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 228 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Aug 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected
and the visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels throughout the summary
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (17 August). An increase to
quiet to unsettled levels is expected on day 2 (18 August) as a
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) begins to disturb
the field. A further increase to unsettled to active levels (with a
slight chance for minor storm levels) is expected on day 3 (19
August) as the CH HSS persists.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Aug 069 Previsto 17 Aug-19 Aug 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 16 Aug 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Aug 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Aug 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Aug-19 Aug 005/005-007/007-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Aug a 19 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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