Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 agosto 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Aug 17 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 229 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Aug 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk remained void of spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (18
August) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS)
begins to disturb the field. A further increase to unsettled to
active levels, with a slight chance for minor storm levels, is
expected on day 2 (19 August) as the CH HSS persists. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (20
August) as the CH HSS subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Aug a 20 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Aug 068 Previsto 18 Aug-20 Aug 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 17 Aug 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Aug 000/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Aug 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug 007/007-015/015-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Aug a 20 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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