Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 septiembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 25 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1026 (S30E15) produced
a C2 x-ray flare at 25/0102Z. This single-spot group has decreased
in area in the past 24 hours. Region 1027 (N24W08) remains a beta
group and has also decreased in both area and sunspot count.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled, with isolated active conditions, for day
one (26 September) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream
becomes geoeffective. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for
day two (27 September), with mostly quiet conditions returning for
day three (28 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Sep 072 Previsto 26 Sep-28 Sep 072/072/070 Media de 90 Días 25 Sep 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep 010/012-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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