Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 octubre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 22 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 295 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Oct 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated period of minor storm levels was observed at 22/1200Z. A
geomagnetic sudden impulse occurred at 22/0019Z (11 nT, as measured
by the Boulder USGS magnetometer). This activity was associated with
a faint partial-halo CME which was observed around 17/1900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet on day one (23 October). Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected on days two and three (24 - 25 October) in
response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Oct a 25 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Oct 072 Previsto 23 Oct-25 Oct 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 22 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Oct 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Oct 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Oct-25 Oct 005/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Oct a 25 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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