Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 septiembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 28 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 271 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Sep 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1027 (N23W47)
indicated a slight increase in area and spot number and maintains a
bipolar magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated minor storm
period observed at middle latitudes between 28/0600 - 0900Z. An
extended period of southward IMF Bz (-5 to -6 nT) was observed
between 28/0400Z - 0800Z that contributed to the minor storm.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for days one and two (29-30 September). Quiet
to unsettled levels are expected on day three (01 October) due to a
coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Sep a 01 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Sep 073 Previsto 29 Sep-01 Oct 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 28 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Sep 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 009/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Sep-01 Oct 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Sep a 01 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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